StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City (Hemma)

Prognos 61.66%1.62rättvist odds
EV -3.19%
Fördel -2.03%
Kelly -5.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.11%61.69%61.40%64.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.56%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Borta)

Prognos 17.95%5.57rättvist odds
EV +7.68%
Fördel +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Tillväxt +0.118%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.86%17.95%18.24%19.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.275.226.0021.74%18.99%19.14%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.39%4.90rättvist odds
EV -0.092%
Fördel -0.019%
Kelly -0.024%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.48%20.35%20.36%21.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.574.604.9023.81%21.90%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Manchester City (Hemma): 61.66%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Borta): 17.95%; Oavgjort: 20.39%. För Brighton and Hove Albion (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.57. 6 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +7.68%.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.68%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.118%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 17:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.37%EV -1.52%E -0.315%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +2.30%E +0.403%K +0.489%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.13%E -0.444%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.96%EV +1.40%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:55
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 17:29
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.30%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:15
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -11.82%E -8.27%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.71%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.72%EV -12.44%E -8.76%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%7.1%2026-10-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 20:00