Idioma:Español
Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion
Resultado del partido
Manchester City (Local)
Predicción 61.66%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -5.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.11%61.69%61.40%64.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.56%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Brighton and Hove Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 17.95%5.57momio equitativo
EV +7.68%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.118%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.86%17.95%18.24%19.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.275.226.0021.74%18.99%19.14%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.39%4.90momio equitativo
EV -0.092%
Ventaja -0.019%
Kelly -0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.48%20.35%20.36%21.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.574.604.9023.81%21.90%21.74%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Manchester City (Local): 61.66%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Visitante): 17.95%; Empate: 20.39%. Para Brighton and Hove Albion (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.57. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.68%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.68%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.118% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.37%EV -1.52%E -0.315%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.021% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +2.30%E +0.403%K +0.489%G +0.011% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.13%E -0.444%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.96%EV +1.40%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 17:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.30%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -11.82%E -8.27%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.71%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.72%EV -12.44%E -8.76%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 171.1% | 2026-10-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 171.1% | 2026-10-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 171.1% | 2026-10-17 20:00 |