The School of Odds
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Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 54.89%1.82fair odd
EV -0.656%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.69%54.90%54.81%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.711.8162.50%58.28%58.31%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leeds United (Visit)

Prediction 19.91%5.02fair odd
EV -0.445%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.111%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%19.95%19.96%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.584.605.0024.39%21.81%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV +0.811%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.270%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%25.16%25.22%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.06%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 54.89%; Leeds United (Visit): 19.91%; Draw: 25.20%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.811%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002%4.5%2026-08-23 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-23 15:05
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.47%EV -0.656%E -0.362%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.25%EV -3.03%E -0.623%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-23 15:34
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.24%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.51%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV -3.22%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.445%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:35
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 17:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.44%E -0.497%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -15.38%E -3.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.42%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -15.38%E -3.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.89%E -5.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 17:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -10.54%E -6.46%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.74%EV -12.18%E -7.61%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -18.37%E -4.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%7.2%2026-08-23 18:15
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 53.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-08-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-23 14:45