Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — EPL

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Previsão 54.89%1.82odd justa
EV -0.656%
Vantagem -0.362%
Kelly -0.810%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.18%54.90%54.81%55.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.711.711.8162.50%58.35%58.48%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leeds United (Visitante)

Previsão 19.91%5.02odd justa
EV -0.445%
Vantagem -0.089%
Kelly -0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%19.95%19.96%21.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.604.605.0024.39%21.74%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.20%3.97odd justa
EV +0.811%
Vantagem +0.203%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.80%25.16%25.22%26.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.06%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 54.89%; Leeds United (Visitante): 19.91%; Empate: 25.20%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.97. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.811%.

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002%4.5%2026-08-23 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-23 15:05
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.47%EV -0.656%E -0.362%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.25%EV -3.03%E -0.623%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-23 15:34
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.24%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.51%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV -3.22%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.445%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:35
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 17:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.44%E -0.497%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.39%E -2.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 19:29
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.42%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.89%E -5.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 17:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:50
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -10.54%E -6.46%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.74%EV -12.18%E -7.61%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -18.37%E -4.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 17:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.90%8.1%2026-08-23 19:34
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 53.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-08-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-23 14:45