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Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United
Resultado del partido
Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)
Predicción 54.89%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.656%
Ventaja -0.362%
Kelly -0.810%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.18%54.90%54.81%55.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.711.8162.50%58.35%58.48%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leeds United (Visitante)
Predicción 19.91%5.02momio equitativo
EV -0.445%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%19.95%19.96%21.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.604.605.0024.39%21.74%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.811%
Ventaja +0.203%
Kelly +0.270%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%25.16%25.22%26.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.06%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 54.89%; Leeds United (Visitante): 19.91%; Empate: 25.20%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.97. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.811%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.811%E +0.203%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.47%EV -0.656%E -0.362%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.25%EV -3.03%E -0.623%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.24%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.51%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV -3.22%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.445%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.43%E -0.922%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 17:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -4.50%E -2.58%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.44%E -0.497%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.39%E -2.82%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.42%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.42%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.89%E -5.35%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.41%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -10.54%E -6.46%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -10.40%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.74%EV -12.18%E -7.61%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -18.37%E -4.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.90% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37% | 16.7% | 2026-08-23 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |