Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brentford v Nottingham Forest

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brentford (Local)

Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.26%47.72%47.93%49.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.0054.95%51.50%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nottingham Forest (Visit)

Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV +6.18%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.125%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%26.45%26.11%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.454.0531.25%28.74%28.99%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.83%25.96%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8229.41%27.53%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brentford (Local): 47.85%; Nottingham Forest (Visit): 26.22%; Draw: 25.93%. For Nottingham Forest (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.05, producing a positive expected value of +6.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.95%EV -5.74%E -2.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%EV +6.18%E +1.53%K +2.03%G +0.125%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.76%EV -0.930%E -0.243%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-17 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.69%EV -5.74%E -2.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.07%EV -4.56%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 19:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 19:15
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 17:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.05%EV -5.74%E -2.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.45%E -0.381%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 17:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.65%E -3.97%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -8.13%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 19:14
picklebet_au🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.13%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.55%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.13%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.55%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.13%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 19:15
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.43%EV -9.81%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -11.00%E -5.92%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.15%EV -10.33%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.77%EV -10.01%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.45%E -0.381%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.45%E -0.381%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 17:28
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.78%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.70%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.96%E -6.50%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.53%EV -12.92%E -7.10%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.10%E -5.03%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%11.1%2026-10-17 17:50