Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brentford v Nottingham Forest

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brentford (Local)

Previsão 46.82%2.14odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.569%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.33%46.88%46.66%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.971.982.1154.95%50.76%50.63%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nottingham Forest (Visitante)

Previsão 27.12%3.69odd justa
EV -0.465%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.174%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.99%27.04%27.28%27.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.413.6731.25%29.13%29.33%27.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.05%3.84odd justa
EV -0.993%
Vantagem -0.261%
Kelly -0.355%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.59%26.08%26.07%27.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.593.603.8029.41%27.86%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Brentford (Local): 46.82%; Nottingham Forest (Visitante): 27.12%; Empate: 26.05%. Para Nottingham Forest (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.67, com valor esperado de -0.465%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.68%EV -1.20%E -0.569%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.84%EV -0.465%E -0.127%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%EV -3.08%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-17 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.77%EV -2.91%E -0.812%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.48%EV -5.68%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:39
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 19:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -7.29%E -3.68%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.05%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.36%E -0.657%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 17:18
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 17:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
picklebet_au🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 19:20
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.57%E -5.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.43%EV -6.70%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -12.91%E -6.94%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.77%EV -9.59%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -13.84%E -7.52%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.53%EV -14.78%E -8.12%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%10.0%2026-10-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40