Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brentford v Nottingham Forest

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brentford (Local)

Prévision 46.82%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.33%46.88%46.66%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.971.982.1154.95%50.76%50.63%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nottingham Forest (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.465%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.174%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.04%27.28%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.413.6731.25%29.13%29.33%27.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -0.993%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.355%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%26.08%26.07%27.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.593.603.8029.41%27.86%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Brentford (Local) : 46.82% ; Nottingham Forest (Visiteur) : 27.12% ; Match nul : 26.05%. Pour Nottingham Forest (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.67, pour une espérance de -0.465% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.68%EV -1.20%E -0.569%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.84%EV -0.465%E -0.127%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%EV -3.08%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-17 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.77%EV -2.91%E -0.812%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.48%EV -5.68%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:39
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 19:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -7.29%E -3.68%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.05%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.36%E -0.657%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 17:18
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.993%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 17:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
picklebet_au🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 19:20
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.57%E -5.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.43%EV -6.70%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -12.91%E -6.94%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.77%EV -9.59%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -13.84%E -7.52%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.53%EV -14.78%E -8.12%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%10.0%2026-10-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-10-17 19:40