預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

York City v Swindon Town

開賽時間: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

最終賽果: York City 4–0 Swindon Town

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

52 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

York City (主隊)

預測 57.05%1.75公平賠率
EV -4.15%
優勢 -2.47%
Kelly -6.11%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.68

博彩公司預測分布
54.71%57.03%56.93%59.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.41%61.35%59.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Swindon Town (客隊)

預測 19.82%5.05公平賠率
EV -2.69%
優勢 -0.548%
Kelly -0.688%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.91

博彩公司預測分布
18.77%19.77%19.86%20.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.404.594.604.9122.73%21.77%21.74%20.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.13%4.32公平賠率
EV -2.86%
優勢 -0.680%
Kelly -0.893%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
21.90%23.20%23.21%25.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.893.924.2027.78%25.67%25.48%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:York City (主隊):57.05%;Swindon Town (客隊):19.82%;和局:23.13%。 對於「Swindon Town (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.05的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為4.91,期望值為-2.69%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (52 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 20:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 20:29
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 04:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 08:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 04:40
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 08:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 03:20
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:10
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:10
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:12
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 04:40
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.29%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 20:29
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:15
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:21
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -2.69%E -0.548%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -3.09%E -0.737%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -3.88%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -9.29%E -5.84%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 12:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -2.89%E -0.589%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.79%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.1%2026-09-09 17:40