Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.68
avec la cote maximale 4.91
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : York City (Local) : 57.05% ; Swindon Town (Visiteur) : 19.82% ; Match nul : 23.13%. Pour Swindon Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.05. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.91, pour une espérance de -2.69% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.29%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -2.69%E -0.548%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -3.09%E -0.737%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -3.88%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -9.29%E -5.84%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -2.89%E -0.589%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |