语言:简体中文
York City v Swindon Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
York City (主队)
预测 57.05%1.75公平赔率
EV -4.15%
优势 -2.47%
Kelly -6.11%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
54.71%57.03%56.93%59.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.41%61.35%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Swindon Town (客队)
预测 19.82%5.05公平赔率
EV -2.69%
优势 -0.548%
Kelly -0.688%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.91
博彩公司预测分布
18.77%19.77%19.86%20.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.594.604.9122.73%21.77%21.74%20.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.13%4.32公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -0.680%
Kelly -0.893%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
21.90%23.20%23.21%25.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.893.924.2027.78%25.67%25.48%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：York City (主队)：57.05%；Swindon Town (客队)：19.82%；平局：23.13%。 对于“Swindon Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.05。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.91，期望值为-2.69%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -7.84%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.11%E -3.19%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -6.43%E -3.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.29%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.17%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.42%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -2.69%E -0.548%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -3.09%E -0.737%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -3.88%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.80%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.58%E -4.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -9.29%E -5.84%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -10.43%E -6.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -2.89%E -0.589%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.86%E -0.680%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.46%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -7.48%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |