Language:English
Walsall v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.22%38.15%38.26%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5443.48%41.52%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%33.06%33.01%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.802.9538.17%35.83%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd
EV +0.610%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%28.78%28.73%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.223.203.5032.26%31.09%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 38.17%; Port Vale (Visit): 33.08%; Draw: 28.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.610%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.15%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV +0.610%E +0.174%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -5.05%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 08:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 11:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 11:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 15:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.40%E -0.815%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-16 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.38%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.85%EV -4.39%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -8.30%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 15:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -13.32%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -11.06%E -4.75%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.94% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |