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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Walsall v Port Vale

Início: 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Walsall 2–0 Port Vale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Walsall (Local)

Previsão 38.17%2.62odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.22%38.15%38.26%40.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.412.402.5443.48%41.52%41.67%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 33.08%3.02odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.815%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.21%33.06%33.01%34.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.792.802.9538.17%35.83%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.75%3.48odd justa
EV +0.610%
Vantagem +0.174%
Kelly +0.244%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.71%28.78%28.73%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.223.203.5032.26%31.09%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Walsall (Local): 38.17%; Port Vale (Visitante): 33.08%; Empate: 28.75%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.610%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.15%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV +0.610%E +0.174%K +0.244%G +0.001%7.0%2026-09-18 11:30
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -5.05%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 04:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:45
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:34
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 11:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 15:31
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:09
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 09:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 15:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.40%E -0.815%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.38%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.85%EV -4.39%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -8.30%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 15:53
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -13.32%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -11.06%E -4.75%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.94%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40