L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Walsall v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Score final : Walsall 2–0 Port Vale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 38.17%2.62cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.22%38.15%38.26%40.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5443.48%41.52%41.67%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.08%3.02cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.815%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.21%33.06%33.01%34.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.792.802.9538.17%35.83%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV +0.610%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%28.78%28.73%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.223.203.5032.26%31.09%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Walsall (Local) : 38.17% ; Port Vale (Visiteur) : 33.08% ; Match nul : 28.75%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.610%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.15%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV +0.610%E +0.174%K +0.244%G +0.001%7.0%2026-09-18 11:30
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -5.05%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 04:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:45
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:34
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 11:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 15:31
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:10
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 04:09
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 09:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 15:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.40%E -0.815%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.38%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.85%EV -4.39%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -8.30%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 15:53
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 11:55
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.97%EV -7.70%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.48%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -13.32%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -11.06%E -4.75%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.94%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.2%2026-09-18 14:40