Language:English
Walsall v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.48%31.61%31.59%32.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.923.1035.71%34.15%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 38.43%2.60fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.68%38.46%38.45%39.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.382.402.5243.86%42.06%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.99%3.33fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.71%29.93%29.97%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.28%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 31.58%; Notts County (Visit): 38.43%; Draw: 29.99%. For Walsall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.18%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -4.33%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -3.15%E -1.25%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -9.43%E -3.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.53%E -3.58%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 07:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -2.53%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.38%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |