La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Notts County

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.681%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.48%31.61%31.59%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.932.923.1035.71%34.15%34.25%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Notts County (Visitante)

Predicción 38.43%2.60momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.68%38.46%38.45%39.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.382.402.5243.86%42.06%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.99%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.778%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.71%29.93%29.97%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.28%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.18%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:38
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:33
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -4.33%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:49
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -3.15%E -1.25%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -9.43%E -3.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:45
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.53%E -3.58%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -2.53%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:50
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.38%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:44
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:39
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-03-07 14:45