A Escola das Odds

Walsall v Notts County

Início: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Previsão 31.58%3.17odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.681%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.48%31.61%31.59%32.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.932.923.1035.71%34.15%34.25%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Notts County (Visitante)

Previsão 38.43%2.60odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.68%38.46%38.45%39.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.382.402.5243.86%42.06%41.67%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.99%3.33odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.778%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.71%29.93%29.97%31.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.28%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.92%E -3.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.18%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:38
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:33
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -4.33%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:49
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 07:50
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -3.15%E -1.25%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -9.43%E -3.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:45
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -6.61%E -2.72%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.43%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.84%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.53%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.53%E -3.58%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -12.38%E -5.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 07:50
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -2.53%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:50
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.38%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -9.68%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:44
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:35
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -3.92%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:39
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.76%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.03%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-03-07 14:45