Language:English
Walsall v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 54.19%1.85fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%54.24%54.12%55.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.721.7660.61%58.36%58.14%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 20.08%4.98fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%20.13%20.09%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.564.504.8023.09%21.95%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV +0.344%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.63%25.79%28.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.85%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 54.19%; Newport County (Visit): 20.08%; Draw: 25.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.344%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -8.84%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -20.24%E -6.53%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |