L’École des cotes

Walsall v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 54.19%1.85cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -6.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%54.24%54.12%55.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.721.7660.61%58.36%58.14%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.08%4.98cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -0.755%
Kelly -0.953%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%20.13%20.09%21.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.564.504.8023.09%21.95%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.73%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.344%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.63%25.79%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.85%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -8.84%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:49
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 11:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 10:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:33
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 11:15
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 18:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -20.24%E -6.53%K -9.64%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-03-21 14:55