La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Newport County

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 54.19%1.85momio equitativo
EV -4.62%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -6.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%54.24%54.12%55.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.721.7660.61%58.36%58.14%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Newport County (Visitante)

Predicción 20.08%4.98momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -0.953%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.20%20.13%20.09%21.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.564.504.8023.09%21.95%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.344%
Ventaja +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.63%25.79%28.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.85%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.62%E -2.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV +0.344%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -8.84%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.23%E -0.587%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.63%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:49
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -5.83%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 11:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.63%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.62%E -0.755%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 10:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:33
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 11:15
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 18:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -8.96%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.65%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -20.24%E -6.53%K -9.64%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 10:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-03-21 14:55