Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall v Gillingham

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 54.46%1.84fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.83%54.58%54.38%56.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.78%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Visit)

Prediction 19.60%5.10fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.502%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.44%19.58%19.61%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.674.655.0022.73%21.40%21.51%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV +0.376%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%25.84%26.01%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.553.503.8731.25%28.18%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 54.46%; Gillingham (Visit): 19.60%; Draw: 25.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.376%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.54%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -6.52%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV +0.376%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 09:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:39
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.23%E -3.01%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.11%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:39
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.23%EV -9.59%E -5.78%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -2.40%E -0.482%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -6.89%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 06:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.84%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -17.00%E -5.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-03 13:50