La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Gillingham

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 54.46%1.84momio equitativo
EV -5.23%
Ventaja -3.01%
Kelly -7.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.83%54.58%54.38%56.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.78%58.82%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gillingham (Visitante)

Predicción 19.60%5.10momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.502%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.44%19.58%19.61%20.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.674.655.0022.73%21.40%21.51%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.94%3.86momio equitativo
EV +0.376%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.54%25.84%26.01%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.553.503.8731.25%28.18%28.57%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 55.54%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -6.52%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV +0.376%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 09:05
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.23%E -3.01%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.11%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:28
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:34
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.23%EV -9.59%E -5.78%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -2.40%E -0.482%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -6.89%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 06:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.84%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -17.00%E -5.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-03 13:50