L’École des cotes

Walsall v Gillingham

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 54.46%1.84cote équitable
EV -5.23%
Avantage -3.01%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.83%54.58%54.38%56.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.78%58.82%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gillingham (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.60%5.10cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.502%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.44%19.58%19.61%20.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.674.655.0022.73%21.40%21.51%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.86cote équitable
EV +0.376%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.54%25.84%26.01%27.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.553.503.8731.25%28.18%28.57%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 55.54%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -6.52%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV +0.376%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 09:05
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.44%E -0.379%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -5.23%E -3.01%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.11%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 06:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:28
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:34
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:54
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.23%EV -9.59%E -5.78%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -2.40%E -0.482%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -6.89%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -7.89%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -10.13%E -6.14%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 06:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.93%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 06:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -2.01%E -0.402%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.32%E -3.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 12:01
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:34
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:34
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.84%EV -7.95%E -4.71%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.85%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.41%E -4.36%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -9.04%E -5.42%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -11.81%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -17.00%E -5.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-03 13:50