Language:English
Walsall v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 37.77%2.65fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.50%37.82%37.71%39.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.452.5642.55%40.83%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.73%33.67%33.73%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.762.752.9038.17%36.25%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%28.52%28.56%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.213.223.4032.26%31.16%31.06%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 37.77%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 33.74%; Draw: 28.49%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.14%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 08:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.58%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 07:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |