L’École des cotes

Walsall v Fleetwood Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 37.77%2.65cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.50%37.82%37.71%39.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.452.452.5642.55%40.83%40.82%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fleetwood Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.74%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.73%33.67%33.73%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.762.752.9038.17%36.25%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.922%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.84%28.52%28.56%29.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.213.223.4032.26%31.16%31.06%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:37
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 14:04
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 14:04
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:10
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.14%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 08:15
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 14:04
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.58%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:35
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 08:00
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 16:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:35
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 07:59
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 08:00
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 07:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-03 19:41
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-03 19:35