La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Fleetwood Town

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 37.77%2.65momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.50%37.82%37.71%39.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.452.452.5642.55%40.83%40.82%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 33.74%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.739%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.73%33.67%33.73%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.762.752.9038.17%36.25%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.84%28.52%28.56%29.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.223.4032.26%31.16%31.06%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:37
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 14:04
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 14:04
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:10
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.14%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.14%E -0.739%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 08:15
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 14:04
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:35
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.58%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:35
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 08:00
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 07:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 16:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:35
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 07:59
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 08:00
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 07:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-03 19:41
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-03 19:35