The School of Odds
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Walsall v Accrington Stanley

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.53%46.55%46.42%47.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0252.36%50.61%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.63%25.85%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.7529.41%27.66%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.15%27.82%27.73%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.313.303.5031.25%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Walsall (Local): 46.58%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 25.67%; Draw: 27.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -2.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.80%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.70%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.30%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.10%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.30%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 19:23
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.71%E -4.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 01:44
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.71%E -4.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 01:39
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -10.57%E -5.51%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 01:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 22:31
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 01:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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