默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Walsall v Accrington Stanley

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Walsall 3–2 Accrington Stanley

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Walsall (主队)

预测 45.55%2.20公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -3.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
44.14%45.84%45.50%49.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.812.002.052.1255.25%49.98%48.78%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Accrington Stanley (客队)

预测 26.84%3.73公平赔率
EV +4.67%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.075%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.84%26.55%26.90%27.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.563.503.9030.30%28.09%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.61%3.62公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -0.965%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.46%27.61%27.60%28.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.343.303.5031.75%29.96%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Walsall (主队):45.55%;Accrington Stanley (客队):26.84%;平局:27.61%。 对于“Accrington Stanley (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+4.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -13.45%E -7.08%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:35
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV +1.99%E +0.524%K +0.711%G +0.014%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -16.64%E -9.09%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV +0.648%E +0.173%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -16.64%E -9.09%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV +0.648%E +0.173%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -17.55%E -9.69%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -17.55%E -9.69%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:40
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.34%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.52%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -8.35%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:33
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.23%EV -3.88%E -1.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.42%EV -6.60%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:39
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -9.35%E -4.70%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:44
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 13:55