Idioma:Español
Walsall v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Walsall (Local)
Predicción 45.55%2.20momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.14%45.84%45.50%49.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.812.002.052.1255.25%49.98%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV +4.67%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%26.55%26.90%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.503.9030.30%28.09%28.57%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.61%27.60%28.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.343.303.5031.75%29.96%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Walsall (Local): 45.55%; Accrington Stanley (Visitante): 26.84%; Empate: 27.61%. Para Accrington Stanley (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.73. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -13.45%E -7.08%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -13.90%E -7.36%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV +4.67%E +1.20%K +1.61%G +0.075% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV +1.99%E +0.524%K +0.711%G +0.014% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -16.64%E -9.09%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV +0.648%E +0.173%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -16.64%E -9.09%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV +0.648%E +0.173%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -17.55%E -9.69%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -17.55%E -9.69%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -0.694%E -0.188%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.34%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.52%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -8.35%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.23%EV -3.88%E -1.84%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.42%EV -6.60%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -9.35%E -4.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |