Language:English
Tranmere Rovers v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prediction 43.20%2.31fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.53%43.25%43.37%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.2548.78%46.28%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 28.72%3.48fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.850%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%28.73%28.57%30.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.153.4133.33%31.22%31.75%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -0.616%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%28.03%28.06%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.253.5432.79%30.56%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 43.20%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 28.72%; Draw: 28.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.54, with an expected value of -0.616%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:52 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -7.55%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.96%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.12%EV -2.62%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.92%EV -0.616%E -0.174%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -8.85%E -4.19%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.05%E -0.601%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.85%E -4.19%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.65%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.78%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.14%E -4.88%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.65%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |