The School of Odds

Tranmere Rovers v Shrewsbury Town

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Odds
1.9052.63%Min
1.9351.87%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
2.0149.75%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.33%2.159Min
47.69%2.097Max
47.00%2.128Mean
46.91%2.132Median
46.87%2.134IQM
47.01%2.127Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.01 under the IQM model: 46.87%

EV -5.79%Edge -2.88%Kelly -5.73%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Shrewsbury Town (Visit)

Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.5428.26%Mean
3.4528.99%Median
3.7526.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.29%4.117Min
26.24%3.810Max
25.70%3.891Mean
25.93%3.857Median
25.95%3.854IQM
25.70%3.891Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.75 under the IQM model: 25.95%

EV -2.69%Edge -0.717%Kelly -0.978%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.3429.96%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.49%3.775Min
28.03%3.568Max
27.30%3.663Mean
27.16%3.682Median
27.18%3.679IQM
27.29%3.664Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.18%

EV -4.87%Edge -1.39%Kelly -1.95%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTranmere Rovers (Local) ▼Shrewsbury Town (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.01I 49.75% NM 46.35%EV -5.79% E -2.88% K -5.73% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.24%EV -7.88% E -2.22% K -3.09% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.40%EV -7.59% E -2.23% K -3.16% G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 07:19
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -6.26% E -3.13% K -6.26% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.34%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.15%EV -4.87% E -1.39% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 05:49
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.13%EV -6.26% E -3.13% K -6.26% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.14%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.73%EV -7.59% E -2.23% K -3.16% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25% NM 46.57%EV -6.73% E -3.38% K -6.80% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 26.18%EV -8.14% E -2.30% K -3.20% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.26%EV -7.59% E -2.23% K -3.16% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 07:20
SportsBet1.96I 51.02% NM 46.96%EV -8.14% E -4.15% K -8.47% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.57%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.47%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 05:49
Bet Right1.96I 51.02% NM 46.76%EV -8.14% E -4.15% K -8.47% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.46%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -10.30% E -3.12% K -4.48% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -8.60% E -4.41% K -9.06% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -10.30% E -3.12% K -4.48% G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 06:09
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08% NM 47.32%EV -10.01% E -5.21% K -10.88% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.96%EV -9.18% E -2.62% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.72%EV -7.59% E -2.23% K -3.16% G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36% NM 47.69%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.29%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.03%EV -11.66% E -3.59% K -5.18% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.91I 52.36% NM 47.69%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.29%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.03%EV -11.66% E -3.59% K -5.18% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.69%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.29%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.03%EV -11.66% E -3.59% K -5.18% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.69%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.29%EV -2.69% E -0.717% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.03%EV -11.66% E -3.59% K -5.18% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.07%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.85%EV -8.95% E -2.67% K -3.81% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 46.87%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.58%EV -9.18% E -2.62% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.55%EV -11.66% E -3.59% K -5.18% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36% NM 46.33%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.02%EV -11.77% E -3.46% K -4.90% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.65%EV -13.02% E -4.07% K -5.92% G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 44.94%EV -10.48% E -5.49% K -11.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.25%EV -11.77% E -3.46% K -4.90% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.81%EV -21.72% E -7.54% K -11.55% G +0.000%16.5%2026-06-30 05:59
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63% NM 47.40%EV -10.95% E -5.76% K -12.16% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -10.47% E -3.04% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.49%EV -7.59% E -2.23% K -3.16% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerTranmere Rovers (Local)Shrewsbury Town (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20