La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Shrewsbury Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 46.58%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.73%46.64%46.55%47.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.951.932.0552.63%51.20%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -0.709%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%26.08%26.22%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.533.503.7529.41%28.30%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.28%27.23%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.84%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 19:44
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 12:19
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 12:20
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.36%EV -6.37%E -3.17%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.40%EV -7.70%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.74%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 12:34
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 05:49
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.881%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 07:50
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 02:04
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 17:59
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 08:59
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.57%EV -7.30%E -3.67%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.96%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:30
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 23:04
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.69%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 05:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:42
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 06:09
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:35
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:49
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%13.1%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20