Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers v Shrewsbury Town

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 2–0 Shrewsbury Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Previsão 43.20%2.31odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.53%43.25%43.37%44.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.162.2548.78%46.28%46.30%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Previsão 28.72%3.48odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -0.850%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.99%28.73%28.57%30.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.153.4133.33%31.22%31.75%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV -0.616%
Vantagem -0.174%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.71%28.03%28.06%28.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.273.253.5432.79%30.56%30.77%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 43.20%; Shrewsbury Town (Visitante): 28.72%; Empate: 28.07%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.54, com valor esperado de -0.616%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.80%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:59
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:59
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.69%E -3.10%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:53
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:52
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -7.55%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.96%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.12%EV -2.62%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.92%EV -0.616%E -0.174%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:00
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -8.85%E -4.19%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.05%E -0.601%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -8.85%E -4.19%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.08%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.65%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.78%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.14%E -4.88%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.65%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.34%E -0.687%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-08-15 13:55