Language:English
Swindon Town v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Town (Local)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.38%42.13%42.31%43.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.192.3047.62%45.75%45.66%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%29.96%29.82%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.113.2534.72%32.23%32.15%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.90%27.87%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.253.4834.72%30.52%30.72%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Town (Local): 42.20%; Walsall (Visit): 29.89%; Draw: 27.91%. For Walsall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.55%EV -5.47%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -5.25%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -6.74%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -9.01%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.78%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.71%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.62%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |