La scuola delle quote

Swindon Town v Walsall

Inizio: 2026-04-06 14:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Swindon Town (Casa)

Previsione 42.20%2.37quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.38%42.13%42.31%43.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.192.3047.62%45.75%45.66%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Walsall (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.89%3.35quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.879%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.38%29.96%29.82%31.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.103.113.2534.72%32.23%32.15%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.91%3.58quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -0.825%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.65%27.90%27.87%29.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.253.4834.72%30.52%30.72%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 14:00
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:58
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 14:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:59
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.55%EV -5.47%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -5.25%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:59
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -6.74%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -9.01%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:58
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:59
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:00
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:00
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.78%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:59
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.71%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:59
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 14:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.62%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-04-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-04-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-04-06 14:00
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-04-06 14:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-06 14:00