La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Swindon Town v Walsall
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.38%42.13%42.31%43.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.192.3047.62%45.75%45.66%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Walsall (Visitante)
Predicción 29.89%3.35momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.38%29.96%29.82%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.113.2534.72%32.23%32.15%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.65%27.90%27.87%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.253.4834.72%30.52%30.72%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.55%EV -5.47%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -5.25%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -6.74%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -9.01%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.78%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.71%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 13:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.62%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |