Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Salford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.658%
Kelly +0.885%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%26.12%26.24%27.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.503.9029.85%28.42%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.05%46.82%46.49%50.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.982.1054.64%50.46%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -0.863%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.06%27.27%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.303.6631.25%29.79%30.30%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 26.30%; Salford City (Visit): 46.61%; Draw: 27.09%. For Shrewsbury Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV +2.57%E +0.658%K +0.885%G +0.023%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -14.70%E -8.03%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:45
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.32%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.863%E -0.236%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 07:40
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.11%E -1.00%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:39
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:45
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.43%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.74%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:35
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 07:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:44
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 07:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:25
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-08-29 13:55