Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Salford City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 26.30%3.80cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +0.658%
Kelly +0.885%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%26.12%26.24%27.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.523.503.9029.85%28.42%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.61%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.05%46.82%46.49%50.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.981.982.1054.64%50.46%50.51%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.09%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.863%
Avantage -0.236%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.06%27.27%28.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.303.6631.25%29.79%30.30%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shrewsbury Town (Local) : 26.30% ; Salford City (Visiteur) : 46.61% ; Match nul : 27.09%. Pour Shrewsbury Town (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV +2.57%E +0.658%K +0.885%G +0.023%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -14.70%E -8.03%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:45
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.32%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.863%E -0.236%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 07:40
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.11%E -1.00%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:39
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:45
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.43%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.74%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:35
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 07:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:44
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 07:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:25
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-08-29 13:55