默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shrewsbury Town v Salford City

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Salford City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shrewsbury Town (主队)

预测 26.30%3.80公平赔率
EV +2.57%
优势 +0.658%
Kelly +0.885%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.55%26.12%26.24%27.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.523.503.9029.85%28.42%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Salford City (客队)

预测 46.61%2.15公平赔率
EV -2.11%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.05%46.82%46.49%50.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.981.982.1054.64%50.46%50.51%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.09%3.69公平赔率
EV -0.863%
优势 -0.236%
Kelly -0.325%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.66

博彩公司预测分布
25.81%27.06%27.27%28.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.363.303.6631.25%29.79%30.30%27.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shrewsbury Town (主队):26.30%;Salford City (客队):46.61%;平局:27.09%。 对于“Shrewsbury Town (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+2.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV +2.57%E +0.658%K +0.885%G +0.023%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -14.70%E -8.03%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.69%E -0.728%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:45
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.32%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.863%E -0.236%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 07:40
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.11%E -1.00%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:39
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:45
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.43%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.74%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:35
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 07:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:44
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 07:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.93%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 09:35
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:25
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.90%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 09:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-08-29 13:55