Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town v Oldham Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Oldham Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%24.18%24.22%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.773.754.0027.78%26.51%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.03%48.06%48.02%49.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.951.9854.64%51.64%51.28%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.428%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.77%27.76%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5434.72%30.52%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 24.15%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 48.03%; Draw: 27.82%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.54, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:49
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:49
1xBet🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:44
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -7.26%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -1.51%E -0.428%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -5.97%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:49
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:54
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55