La escuela de los momios

Shrewsbury Town v Oldham Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Oldham Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%24.18%24.22%25.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.773.754.0027.78%26.51%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 48.03%2.08momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -5.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.03%48.06%48.02%49.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.951.9854.64%51.64%51.28%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.82%3.59momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.77%27.76%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5434.72%30.52%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:49
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:49
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:44
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -7.26%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -1.51%E -0.428%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -5.97%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:49
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:54
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55