Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shrewsbury Town v Oldham Athletic

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Oldham Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Previsão 24.15%4.14odd justa
EV -3.40%
Vantagem -0.850%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.98%24.18%24.22%25.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.773.754.0027.78%26.51%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 48.03%2.08odd justa
EV -4.90%
Vantagem -2.48%
Kelly -5.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.03%48.06%48.02%49.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.941.951.9854.64%51.64%51.28%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.82%3.59odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.428%
Kelly -0.596%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.81%27.77%27.76%29.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.283.303.5434.72%30.52%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 24.15%; Oldham Athletic (Visitante): 48.03%; Empate: 27.82%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.59. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.54, com valor esperado de -1.51%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:49
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:49
1xBet🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:54
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:44
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -7.26%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -1.51%E -0.428%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -5.97%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:49
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:54
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:20
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.36%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55