Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.37%35.71%35.82%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.602.7040.00%38.54%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 34.79%2.87fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.01%34.92%34.78%37.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.622.7541.67%38.46%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.37%29.40%30.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.03%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 35.81%; Northampton Town (Visit): 34.79%; Draw: 29.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -15.45%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -15.45%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -5.02%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -16.50%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -16.50%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -6.54%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -6.54%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 09:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.26%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.26%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 07:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 02:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |