Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Shrewsbury Town 2–0 Northampton Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.37%35.71%35.82%36.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.592.602.7040.00%38.54%38.46%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.79%2.87cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.01%34.92%34.78%37.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.622.7541.67%38.46%38.17%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%29.37%29.40%30.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.03%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shrewsbury Town (Local) : 35.81% ; Northampton Town (Visiteur) : 34.79% ; Match nul : 29.40%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.40. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.30, pour une espérance de -2.98% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -14.76%E -6.02%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -15.45%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -15.45%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.80%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -5.02%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -16.50%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -5.83%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -16.50%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:05
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:39
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 09:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -6.54%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -6.54%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 09:25
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 09:24
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 14:33
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 14:26
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.26%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.26%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.06%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:45
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 08:40
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 07:39
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 07:40
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 08:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 02:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 18:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 12:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.80%E -2.94%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 09:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 14:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.84%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.54%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-09-09 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57%2.2%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57%2.2%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57%2.2%2026-09-09 17:21
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-09-09 17:16