Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%29.38%29.49%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.32%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 41.22%2.43fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.23%41.14%41.21%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.242.3747.62%44.68%44.74%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.59%29.48%29.30%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.93%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 29.40%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 41.22%; Draw: 29.38%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.93%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 09:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.27%E -2.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -2.31%E -0.976%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.73%E -6.33%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-22 13:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |