Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shrewsbury Town v Fleetwood Town

Início: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Previsão 29.40%3.40odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.89%29.38%29.49%30.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.32%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Previsão 41.22%2.43odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.976%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.23%41.14%41.21%41.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.242.3747.62%44.68%44.74%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.38%3.40odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.921%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.59%29.48%29.30%31.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.93%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 29.40%; Fleetwood Town (Visitante): 41.22%; Empate: 29.38%. Para Fleetwood Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.37, com valor esperado de -2.31%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 09:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 15:30
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:25
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:25
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.93%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:00
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 09:29
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:24
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:00
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 09:24
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.27%E -2.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:05
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -2.31%E -0.976%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:24
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 08:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 14:04
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:14
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:16
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 02:04
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:19
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:25
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:40
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 09:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.73%E -6.33%K -9.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-22 13:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%6.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%6.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%6.6%2026-04-24 02:05
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%6.7%2026-04-24 02:00