La escuela de los momios

Shrewsbury Town v Fleetwood Town

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -0.903%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%29.38%29.49%30.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.32%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 41.22%2.43momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.23%41.14%41.21%41.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.242.3747.62%44.68%44.74%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -0.921%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.59%29.48%29.30%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.93%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 09:34
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.98%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 15:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:25
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.93%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:05
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:20
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 09:29
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:05
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:24
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.50%E -3.83%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.38%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:24
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:04
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:00
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 09:24
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.27%E -2.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -2.31%E -0.976%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.04%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:24
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 08:19
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 14:04
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:14
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:16
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:09
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 02:04
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:19
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:25
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.32%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:34
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 09:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:14
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.45%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:15
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 15:30
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:14
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:15
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.73%E -6.33%K -9.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-22 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%6.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%6.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%6.6%2026-04-24 02:05
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%6.7%2026-04-24 02:00