Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 32.26%3.10fair odd
EV +0.001%
Edge +0.000%
Kelly +0.001%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.42%32.36%32.23%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.38%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 39.70%2.52fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%39.55%39.68%41.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.6044.44%42.20%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.05%3.57fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.736%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.09%28.09%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.5034.72%30.75%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 32.26%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 39.70%; Draw: 28.05%. For Crewe Alexandra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.13%E -6.20%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV +3.21%E +1.23%K +2.01%G +0.064% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -2.40%E -0.690%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.66%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.95%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.73%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |