La escuela de los momios

Shrewsbury Town v Crewe Alexandra

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Predicción 32.26%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.001%
Ventaja +0.000%
Kelly +0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%32.36%32.23%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.38%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 39.70%2.52momio equitativo
EV +3.21%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.39%39.55%39.68%41.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.352.6044.44%42.20%42.55%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.05%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.09%28.09%30.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.5034.72%30.75%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.13%E -6.20%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV +3.21%E +1.23%K +2.01%G +0.064%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -2.40%E -0.690%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:48
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.66%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.95%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.73%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 14:54
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:50
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:49
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:54
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%3.3%2026-03-21 14:55