L’École des cotes

Shrewsbury Town v Crewe Alexandra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 32.26%3.10cote équitable
EV +0.001%
Avantage +0.000%
Kelly +0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.42%32.36%32.23%35.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.38%35.09%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.70%2.52cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +2.01%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.39%39.55%39.68%41.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.352.6044.44%42.20%42.55%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.05%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.09%28.09%30.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.5034.72%30.75%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.13%E -6.20%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV +3.21%E +1.23%K +2.01%G +0.064%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -1.55%E -0.627%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -1.84%E -0.526%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -2.40%E -0.690%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:48
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.66%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.95%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.73%EV -7.11%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 14:54
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:50
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:49
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:54
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -19.23%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%3.3%2026-03-21 14:55