Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 3.95
assuming max odds 3.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 46.72%; Walsall (Visit): 25.22%; Draw: 28.06%. For Walsall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -0.378%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.02%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -1.50%E -0.427%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -6.10%E -3.04%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -15.51%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.18%E -6.66%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -2.90%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -10.77%E -5.64%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.82%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -12.17%E -6.48%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55% | 0.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |